Senegal vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
60%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BFA
1 - 0
SEN
23%
26%
50%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SEN
2 - 0
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CIV
0 - 1
SEN
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
KOR
1 - 1
SEN
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
TAN
2 - 0
COD
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
TAN
1 - 2
RWA
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
TAN
3 - 0
DJI
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
TAN
2 - 1
MWI
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 2
TAN
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |