Senegal vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
TOG
3 - 1
SEN
21%
27%
52%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CPV
1 - 3
SEN
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SEN
2 - 0
CGO
65%
22%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
MLI
1 - 1
ZAM
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TOG
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 2
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |