Senegal vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
SEN
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SEN
2 - 0
EGY
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
SEN
77%
17%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
XXK
1 - 3
SEN
41%
25%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
BFA
1 - 1
SEN
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
EGY
0 - 1
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TUN
2 - 1
BOT
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
TUN
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 1
TUN
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
TUN
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |