Senegal vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 4
SEN
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 2
SEN
13%
23%
65%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 0
COD
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 2
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
SEN
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
BDI
0 - 2
SDN
22%
27%
50%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 1
SDN
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
SDN
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SDN
2 - 3
UGA
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |