Senegal vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
GHA
1 - 0
SEN
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
ZWE
0 - 2
SEN
27%
26%
48%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SEN
0 - 0
COD
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
EGY
4 - 2
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
SEN
2 - 1
ECU
36%
30%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
NGA
2 - 0
ZWE
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
NGA
1 - 0
GHA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
ROU
3 - 0
NGA
67%
21%
13%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
NGA
5 - 1
ZWE
68%
21%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
DZA
2 - 5
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |