Senegal vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1991 |
SEN
1 - 0
CPV
67%
22%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
SEN
2 - 0
GAM
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
SEN
0 - 0
CPV
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
SEN
4 - 0
EQG
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
CIV
1 - 0
SEN
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
NGA
7 - 1
BFA
65%
23%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
NGA
3 - 0
BEN
75%
19%
7%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
NGA
0 - 0
GHA
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
TOG
0 - 0
NGA
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
BFA
1 - 1
NGA
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |