Senegal vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
3 - 0
KEN
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
0 - 0
BFA
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
2 - 1
ZAF
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
SEN
1 - 0
CIV
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
EGY
1 - 0
SEN
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
BFA
1 - 3
MLI
21%
24%
56%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 3
MLI
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2004 |
DZA
0 - 2
MLI
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
GNB
78%
16%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |