Senegal vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 1
ZIM
70%
19%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
1 - 0
MOZ
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
1 - 2
NAM
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 0
CPV
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SEN
3 - 1
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 1
NAM
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MWI
2 - 2
ZIM
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
TAN
2 - 0
MWI
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 0
UGA
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |