Senegal vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
EQG
0 - 1
SEN
12%
24%
64%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 1
SEN
18%
25%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SEN
3 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
SEN
0 - 1
COL
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 3
SDN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
EQG
0 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 1
LSO
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |