CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Senegal vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 3
SEN
12%
22%
66%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SEN
9%
20%
72%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
4 - 3
SEN
23%
25%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
SEN
1 - 1
SWZ
82%
13%
4%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SEN
3 - 1
NIG
80%
15%
6%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 3
SEN
12%
22%
66%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 2
MAR
2%
18%
80%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
LBR
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 1
SLE
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 4
BEN
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |