Senegal vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SEN
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
SEN
48%
27%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
SEN
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 1
SEN
8%
20%
72%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
LBR
1 - 0
NAM
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
7%
21%
72%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LBR
2 - 2
MLI
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ZIM
3 - 0
LBR
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LBR
0 - 0
NIG
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |