Senegal vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
2 - 2
SEN
11%
20%
68%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 0
SEN
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 0
ALG
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 1
RSA
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 3
ANG
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
2 - 2
SEN
11%
20%
68%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
ALG
3 - 0
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
1 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
RWA
4 - 0
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
0 - 0
EQG
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |