Senegal vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
BDI
76%
18%
6%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
SEN
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
SEN
0 - 2
ALG
50%
26%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 1
SEN
38%
27%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
SEN
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 0
GAM
68%
22%
11%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAM
55%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
MTN
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAN
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAM
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |