Senegal vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
EGY
0 - 1
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEN
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SEN
0 - 0
TUN
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
SEN
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SEN
2 - 0
EGY
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
EGY
2 - 0
BOT
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
EGY
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZIM
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
SEN
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |