Senegal vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
SEN
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 1
SEN
18%
26%
56%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 2
CIV
28%
27%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
4 - 2
SEN
62%
22%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CPV
2 - 1
ANG
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
0 - 0
MAR
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 0
BOT
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ANG
53%
25%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |