Sendas EC vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sendas EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 0
SEC
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 4
SEC
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SEC
2 - 0
ANG
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SEC
4 - 2
CER
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
FRI
1 - 0
SEC
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 1
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
AMF
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |