Selwyn United vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
23.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
9º
8º
11
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 5
COA
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
4 - 0
FCT
65%
17%
18%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUF
83%
11%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 5
CHR
8%
12%
80%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 3
FER
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 3
FER
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COA
5 - 1
UOC
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
UOC
68%
18%
15%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 1
NOM
12%
16%
72%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 6
UOC
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |