Selwyn United vs Dunedin City Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 0
SUF
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
COA
2 - 2
SUF
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SUF
4 - 4
MOS
22%
19%
58%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
SUF
93%
6%
1%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
NOM
1 - 0
SUF
47%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin City Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
5 - 1
NOM
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 0
SCR
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 3
FER
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 3
COA
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 1
SCR
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |