Selwyn United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
69.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
9º
8º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 2
SUF
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
COA
7 - 0
SUF
78%
13%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 3
NOM
18%
18%
64%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
COA
3 - 1
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
GIA
29%
19%
52%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
3 - 3
COA
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 1
NSF
33%
20%
47%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 6
CHR
13%
16%
70%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -2 |