Selwyn United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
69.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
9º
8º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 2
SUF
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
COA
7 - 0
SUF
78%
13%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 3
NOM
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
COA
3 - 1
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
GIA
29%
19%
52%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
3 - 3
COA
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 1
NSF
33%
20%
47%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 6
CHR
13%
16%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |