Selwyn United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
65%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
9º
9º
22
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
3 - 1
FER
28%
21%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 2
SUF
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 4
CHR
9%
14%
78%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
SUF
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 0
NSF
52%
20%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NOM
3 - 5
NSF
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
NSF
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
FER
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |