Selwyn United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
FER
3 - 0
SUF
50%
22%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 5
SUF
10%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 4
SCR
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 0
SUF
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
COA
2 - 2
SUF
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
NSF
2 - 2
NOM
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NSF
4 - 0
RAA
81%
13%
7%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NSF
2 - 2
COA
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
NSF
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 0
SCR
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |