Selwyn United vs Mosgiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
58.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
SUF
93%
6%
1%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
NOM
1 - 0
SUF
47%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 1
GIA
21%
19%
61%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 2
SUF
68%
17%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
COA
2 - 4
SUF
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mosgiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
5 - 0
NOM
74%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 0
MOS
37%
21%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 3
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 0
MOS
46%
21%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GIA
4 - 4
MOS
47%
21%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |