Selwyn United vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
51.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
9º
9º
16
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
SUF
95%
4%
1%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 2
FCT
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CHR
6 - 0
SUF
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 5
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
SUF
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
NOM
48%
20%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
COA
3 - 2
GIA
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
4 - 5
GIA
74%
14%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 7
CAS
6%
10%
84%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |