Selwyn United vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
51.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 2
SUF
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 4
CHR
9%
14%
78%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
SUF
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 3
CAS
5%
12%
84%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
GIA
3 - 2
SUF
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FER
4 - 2
NOM
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NSF
3 - 2
FER
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COA
1 - 2
FER
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
SCR
27%
22%
52%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHR
0 - 0
FER
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |