Selwyn United vs Coastal Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
74.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+80%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
9º
8º
45
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
4 - 0
FCT
65%
17%
18%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUF
83%
11%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 5
CHR
8%
12%
80%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 3
FER
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
SUF
75%
15%
11%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COA
5 - 1
UOC
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COA
3 - 1
CAS
11%
15%
75%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +4 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 7
COA
9%
13%
78%
|
22 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |