Selongey vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+230%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
13º
4º
19
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selongey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SOC
0 - 1
SEL
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 0
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 0
SEL
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 1
MAC
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 2
SEL
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
MON
54%
20%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
MAC
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
APO
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
QUE
3 - 1
MON
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -2 |