Zanzibar vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zanzibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
ZAN
0 - 1
BFA
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
ZAN
1 - 0
TAN
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ZAN
0 - 0
TAN
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
ZAN
1 - 1
MWI
32%
24%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +20 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
TAN
0 - 2
KEN
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 1
KEN
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 0
NAM
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 1
KEN
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
SSD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |