Zambia vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
KEN
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 1
TAN
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZWE
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 1
ZWE
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 1
ZWE
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ZWE
0 - 2
LSO
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ZWE
1 - 3
KEN
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZWE
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |