Zambia vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZAM
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
ZAM
8%
15%
78%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
ZAM
10%
21%
70%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 2
ZAM
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SYC
2 - 4
ZAM
4%
15%
82%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 2
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 2
ALG
15%
24%
61%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
COD
1 - 0
UGA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 1
UGA
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |