Zambia vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
3 - 1
ZAM
80%
12%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CIV
54%
22%
25%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
19%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZAM
60%
19%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1973 |
ZAM
6 - 1
SOM
72%
17%
12%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1974 |
CIV
2 - 2
UGA
71%
16%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
77%
14%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
TAN
55%
20%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
19%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZAM
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |