Zambia vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAN
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 0
TAN
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 1
TAN
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
TAN
3 - 0
MNG
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 0
TAN
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 0
COD
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |