Zambia vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
0 - 2
ZAM
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
UGA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
3 - 3
NIG
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
TAN
1 - 1
COD
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TAN
1 - 1
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
TUN
1 - 0
TAN
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TAN
0 - 1
BDI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
LBY
2 - 1
TAN
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |