CHAN Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Zambia vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 1
ZAM
10%
19%
70%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ZAM
3 - 2
BOT
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZAM
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 4
CIV
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 1
ZAM
10%
19%
70%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
DJI
2 - 1
SWZ
14%
17%
69%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
SWZ
69%
21%
11%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SWZ
1 - 1
ANG
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |