Zambia vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GNB
3 - 2
ZAM
21%
25%
55%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
ZAM
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CGO
1 - 1
ZAM
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CGO
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
MAD
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
4 - 0
SYC
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
2 - 2
SWZ
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
GUI
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ZIM
4 - 0
SWZ
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |