Zambia vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ZAM
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
TOG
1 - 0
ZAM
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
IRN
3 - 2
ZAM
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
EGY
1 - 1
ZAM
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ZAM
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SWZ
2 - 1
TOG
19%
24%
56%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
SWZ
1 - 1
LSO
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SWZ
1 - 4
LSO
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SWZ
1 - 4
BOT
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |