Zambia vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 0
ZAM
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
ZAM
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
KEN
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 1
TAN
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SLE
0 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BFA
2 - 2
SLE
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SLE
2 - 1
DJI
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SLE
84%
13%
4%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CIV
5 - 1
SLE
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |