Zambia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
0 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MOZ
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
65%
23%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LBR
0 - 2
SEN
15%
23%
62%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 1
SEN
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
ANG
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
SEN
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |