Zambia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
ZAM
1 - 1
BFA
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
EGY
2 - 0
ZAM
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
HND
7 - 1
ZAM
48%
27%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1999 |
TUN
0 - 0
ZAM
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
TUN
2 - 1
ZAM
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2000 |
EGY
1 - 0
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2000 |
BFA
1 - 3
SEN
34%
28%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2000 |
SEN
0 - 0
CMR
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 0
SEN
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
SEN
3 - 0
GAM
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |