Zambia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1994 |
CIV
0 - 1
ZAM
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1994 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SLE
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ZIM
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
ZIM
2 - 2
ZAM
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
MWI
0 - 2
ZAM
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1994 |
GHA
1 - 0
SEN
62%
25%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1994 |
SEN
2 - 1
GUI
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
GAB
0 - 0
SEN
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
SEN
0 - 0
MLI
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
MLI
1 - 0
SEN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |