Zambia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1990 |
ZAM
1 - 0
KEN
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CMR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1989 |
KEN
1 - 0
ZAM
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
UGA
3 - 1
ZAM
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
MWI
0 - 0
ZAM
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1990 |
SEN
2 - 0
CMR
43%
29%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
SEN
0 - 0
KEN
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1989 |
SEN
0 - 0
ALG
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1989 |
SEN
1 - 0
SLE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1989 |
SEN
3 - 0
CTA
84%
13%
3%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |