Zambia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MTN
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BOT
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SWZ
1 - 0
ZAM
12%
21%
67%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 2
LSO
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
EQG
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
0 - 2
ALG
45%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
COD
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
TUN
2 - 1
EQG
77%
17%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |