Zambia vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MAD
0 - 2
ZAM
14%
20%
66%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ZAM
5 - 4
ZIM
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 0
SWZ
74%
17%
8%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ZAM
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
TOG
1 - 0
ZAM
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
COD
2 - 1
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SWZ
2 - 1
TOG
19%
24%
56%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
TOG
1 - 0
ZAM
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
TOG
0 - 2
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NPL
0 - 5
TOG
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |