Zambia vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 2
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ZIM
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SYC
82%
14%
5%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
TOG
1 - 1
BEN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
TOG
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TOG
2 - 0
EQG
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
EQG
1 - 0
TOG
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
MTN
0 - 0
TOG
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |