Zambia vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 2
ZAM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 1
UGA
51%
26%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CMR
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 0
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 0
MAR
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
1 - 0
MTN
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 2
SDN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
SDN
0 - 0
ETH
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ETH
1 - 1
SDN
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |