Zambia vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 1
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 0
ZAM
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 1
BFA
42%
24%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 2
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
83%
12%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |