Zambia vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ZAM
4 - 0
LSO
75%
18%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ZIM
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 1
ZAM
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
BFA
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
SDN
1 - 3
GHA
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 0
SDN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SDN
5 - 3
ETH
53%
23%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 0
SDN
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |