Zambia vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
CPV
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 2
TUN
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
COD
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
ZAM
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CPV
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RWA
2 - 0
CGO
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GAB
0 - 1
RWA
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 0
RWA
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RWA
3 - 0
LBY
23%
28%
49%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +2 |