Zambia vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
ZAM
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
COD
2 - 1
ZAM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAN
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SEN
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
MWI
2 - 0
RWA
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 0
ALG
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 2
TAN
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2009 |
RWA
3 - 0
SOM
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
4 - 0
RWA
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |