Zambia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
ZAM
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GAB
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 2
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 1
NAM
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
MOZ
17%
23%
59%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 4
MOZ
15%
20%
65%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
5 - 1
SYC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
0 - 1
RWA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 0
MOZ
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |