Zambia vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 1
EQG
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
EQG
2 - 0
ZAM
19%
25%
57%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
TUN
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MTN
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MTN
0 - 0
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
MTN
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
EQG
1 - 0
MTN
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MTN
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
MTN
2 - 0
YEM
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |